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http://www.dni.gov/nic/NIC_2025_project.html
GLOBAL TRENDS 2025:
THE NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE COUNCIL'S
2025 PROJECT

日本について

３３ページ

Japan:  Caught Between the US and China. 
Japan will face a major reorientation of its
domestic and foreign policies by 2025 yet
maintain its status as an upper middle rank
power.  Domestically, Japan’s political,
social, and economic systems will likely be
restructured to address its demographic
decline, an aging industrial base, and a more
volatile political situation.  Japan’s decreasing
population may force authorities to consider
new immigration policies like a long-term
visa option for visiting workers.  The
Japanese, however, will have difficulty
overcoming their reluctance to naturalize
foreigners.  The aging of the population also
will spur development in Japan’s healthcare
and housing systems to accommodate large
numbers of dependent